It was disclosed on Friday at a press briefing by the Lagos State Commissioner of Health, Prof. Akin Abayomi that Lagos State expects to see up to 39,000 cases of the COVID-19.
In Prof. Akin Abayomi’s words, “Our mathematical modelling shows that the worst-case scenario is that we may see up to 39,000 cases in Lagos”.
He added in his statement that if everyone practices good social distancing as advised, the number will reduce to 13,000.
“If we add social distancing to active contact tracing, then we will be able to bend the curve further,” said the commissioner.
However, he mentioned that the number is small compared to the other cases around the world.
“The figures may seem alarming at this point, but this is just to emphasize to the Lagos community to follow instructions of the incident commander to make sure that we practice social distancing”.
Furthermore, he said, ” Looking at the same time-frame from the introduction of the index case, you can see that Lagos State is not seen anywhere near what Spain, Italy and Iran are showing. So at weeks two and three of our index case, we are flat and at week four, we have 37 cases; while at the same fourth week, Italy, Iran and Spain had more than 20,000 cases”.
Prof. Akin Abayomi thus concluded that with the comparison, the state is doing something right.
“So, we are doing something right in the state”, the commissioner said.